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This is how much of a pay rise you should expect in 2026 | Money blog

A survey of 121 firms employing 2.8 million people has revealed how much people can expect in pay rises this year. Read this, our interview with a former MP on what it's really like and all the day's personal finance and consumer news below - and watch our latest New Money report.

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Revealed: The most likely pay rises in 2026

Staff are most likely to see their pay rise by the same amount as last year, new data shows.

Some 44% of bosses intend to award a similar wage increase, while 28% will compensate employees more generously.

Another 28% say their workers face a smaller pay rise than last year, according to a survey of 121 firms employing 2.8 million people by Incomes Data Research (IDR).

As a result, more than three-fifths of pay awards are likely to be worth between 3% and 3.99%.

"Inflation is currently higher than it was a year ago and this has applied upward pressure on pay to some extent and the findings from our poll show that inflation continues to figure relatively highly in employers' concerns," says Zoe Woolacott from IDR.

Gold and silver take hammering in major market shift

By James Sillars, business and economics reporter

We saw gold and silver prices hit record highs last Thursday.

Just 24 hours later, each had suffered their worst days for value since 1983 and 1980 respectively.

Today, gold has fallen by up to 7% more and silver by almost 11%.

The declines since Friday have been so sharp that some brokers have raised their margin calls on speculators in the market.

That lifts the minimum amount of money they must deposit to open or maintain their positions.

Prices for gold and silver have mostly shot up during Donald Trump's second term.

Investors have been using them as a place of shelter from the president's trade war and other, often erratic, actions (I won't list them all here).

The decline in precious and wider metal prices since Friday, to an extent, represents relief on several fronts.

The main reason for the correction has been the announcement of Trump's pick to run the US central bank.

Kevin Warsh is not seen as a rampant interest-rate cutter, as the market had feared.

Precious metal firms and wider miners led the FTSE 100 0.5% lower at the open in Europe.

Energy firms were suffering too as oil costs plunged by 5%.

Some of that decline can be attributed to a growing perception that Trump is unlikely to attack Iran.

JK Rowling to Harry Styles: Top 100 UK taxpayers revealed

Anthony Joshua, JK Rowling and Mo Salah have been named among the UK's 100 biggest taxpayers.

But the billionaire brothers behind gambling giant Betfred topped the rankings of The Sunday Times Tax List 2026 for the first time, surpassing musicians, entrepreneurs and sports stars.

Fred and Peter Done, who founded the Warrington-based business in 1967, paid out an estimated £400.1m in tax over the past year, according to the annual list.

Flatsharers aged 65 or older triple in 10 years

The proportion of flatsharers aged 65 or older has tripled in the past decade, according to new SpareRoom data. 

Pensioners made up 2.4% of flatsharers in 2025, up from 0.8% 10 years earlier, the flatshare site found. 

Steep increases in room rents and diminishing savings have contributed to keeping older renters in shared homes for longer, it said. 

At the same time, the situation is creating a barrier for younger renters to move out of their family home, causing the number of people aged under 35 in flatshares to decrease.

People aged 18 to 24 made up 25.6% of those living in shared accommodation last year, down from 31.8% in 2015.

People aged 25 to 34 are still the biggest percentage of flatsharers at around 42%, but this too is lower than 10 years ago when the proportion was 45%. 

Matt Hutchinson, director of SpareRoom, said: "It used to be the case that multigenerational households were a rarity in flatsharing. The market was dominated by groups of 20 and 30-somethings chasing jobs and opportunities in cities and major towns.

"Today, unaffordable high rents are shifting household dynamics as well as changing the geography of flatsharing too. The youngest are being priced out of the rental market altogether, as older renters are priced out of home ownership or renting solo." 

Panic button in my bedroom and a pay cut: What it's really like being an MP

If you've ever spent your morning commute daydreaming about starting afresh with your career, this feature is for you. Each Monday, we speak to someone from a different profession to discover what it's really like. This week we chat to Dame Tracey Crouch, Conservative MP for Chatham and Aylesford in Kent from 2010 to 2024. 

It's impossible to say precisely how many hours I worked... because every day, week and month was different. It's a real piece-of-string question. Some days I would be at my desk at 7am and finish gone midnight, but others it could be more 8am until 6pm. I would do work almost all weekends. There is no job description for being an MP; you end up being a cross between spokesperson, social worker, international diplomat, council worker, teacher, manager, employee - the list goes on. 

My pay when I was first elected in 2010 was £65,000... I took a pay cut to be an MP.  It now stands at around £94,000, which is probably reasonable.

When MPs lose office, they get a resettlement payment... but the amount varies depending on length of service. The pension has been changed. It was final salary but is now a career average - this is similar to other public sector pension reforms. MPs who have held their seat for two years or more are entitled to twice their statutory redundancy entitlement when they leave office. Up to £30,000 of this is tax-free. 

You might think it is, but it's not difficult mentally...  to be in a job where you know you could effectively get sacked every five years. Somebody had to be "sacked" for you to get the job!

I didn't claim many benefits... such as travel, because I represented a commuter constituency and didn't see why I could claim my travel to work, but my constituents couldn't.  Ultimately these are personal decisions. The expenses MPs can claim for include costs to employ staff, run an office, have accommodation in either their constituency or in London, travel and personal security. 

Being an MP affects your family massively... My house became a fortress with security.

It is hard to maintain a normal social life... but I am lucky that most of my friends knew me before I was elected, so could keep me grounded.

I worried about personal safety all the time... Female MPs get more threats of violence than their male counterparts. We had panic alarms in the bedroom. That is not something you can ignore.

The best route to take to become an MP is... start in the grassroots movement of a political party - get talking to people in the community, understand their challenges. It is important to care about people.

The traits you need to be an MP are... compassion and a desire to work hard.

The worst trait I have seen in bad MPs is... not understanding the concerns of people in their constituencies.

The most annoying part of the job is that... it's a fairly thankless role. 

If there is a sense of elitism in parliament... it goes pretty quickly - it is a very levelling and equalising job. 

I have no idea what MPs' nights out are like... I rarely went out out. 

The biggest money concerns constituents brought up with me were... simply making ends meet. The cost of living crisis was very real for people on middle and low incomes.

My biggest frustration with today's political discourse is... it is too black and white. There is very little understanding of the multiple shades of grey or nuance.

I joined the Conservative Party because... it is a broad church.  I get frustrated that people forget this.

When I was an MP, the decision I was most proud of was... resigning on a point of principle over the delays to the implementation of the stake cut to fixed odds betting terminals. 

My biggest career regret was... the early election meant I had unfinished items on my to-do list.

I'm not sure I ever saw real hate between MPs from different parties... Most things in parliament are done on a cross-party basis. 

Welcome back to the Money blog for another week of personal finance and consumer news and tips

Welcome back to the Money blog for another week of live updates on consumer and personal finance news.

Regular readers will know we start each day with a longer read for your commute or to digest over your first brew.

On Mondays, we'll continue asking What it's really like to be a... - you can catch up on the careers feature here.

Every Tuesday, we answer a reader's Money Problem. Submit yours to moneyblog@sky.uk and catch up on the series here.

On Wednesdays, we mix things up, with Cheap Eats interviews with chefs, Our verdict taste tests and a new feature called Buy like an expert, where we'll tell you what you should be considering when purchasing items such as steak, TVs, honey and more.

Our weekly Savings Guide is published every Thursday, and Friday is Tips day - from the freebies you can get on your birthday to all the help and grants available with your energy bills.

We'll also continue to bring you a money-focused Long read every Saturday.

There's a growing number of Britons moving into abandoned properties - but they're not squatters...

Would you live in an abandoned police station, a deserted hospital or a disused office building? What if it saved you hundreds of pounds a month?

You may not have heard of property guardianship but it's a route a growing number of Britons, faced with exorbitant rents, are taking.

And it could play a role in solving the country's housing crisis. Of the 754,000 properties standing empty across the UK, around half could be used to house people, one management firm told Money. 

Clearly, it's not an option that suits everyone. Children are banned, you could be told to leave every 28 days and you have fewer legal protections.   

So, is it something you should consider? Here we explain what property guardianship is, hear residents' stories and speak to landlords about how it works for them. 

What is property guardianship?  

Property guardianship is an arrangement where people live in otherwise vacant buildings under a licence agreement.  

It is usually cheaper than traditional renting because the occupants also act as security for the property owner.  

Owners tend to use either a security company or a property guardianship company to find people who are suited to living in their building, similar to how a landlord uses an estate agent.  

Unlike tenants, guardians do not sign a standard lease agreement or pay monthly rent. Instead they usually sign a 28-day rolling licence agreement and pay a licence fee.

Ten years ago, partly thanks to the Channel 4 series Crashing, the concept made headlines everywhere, but it was horror stories about substandard living conditions that got attention.  

In the following years, companies were taken to court, campaigners asked for better regulation and at least one city council banned the practice.  

The rights of guardians have since become less murky and companies have taken steps to improve standards, some signing up to the Property Guardian Providers Association, which sets industry standards.  

Yet there are no rules to be met beyond basic housing standards and health and safety measures. We've heard of guardians living in morgues, hospitals, cathedrals, schools and former office blocks. 

Guardians don't have the same legal protections as tenants: they can be evicted with 28 days' notice, half the minimum of two months for renters under a section 21 notice, and owners can carry out inspections at any time.  

They usually have to pay a deposit, but landlords don't have to place it in a protection scheme, and they don't have the right to request repairs unless there is a safety concern.   

Let's meet some guardians... 

Cherise Woods turned to property guardianship in 2024 after she was evicted under a section 21 notice due to a rat infestation. She wanted to save for a house deposit and found a nearby property in Somerset that was looking for a guardian. 

For security purposes, the owner asked Money not to disclose what the building was used for.  

Cherise told us it was a listed building, with several floors and two car parks. Her room, which is big at around 20 square metres, used to be an office: plastic casing housing wires and plug sockets once used for computers runs down the walls, a pinboard has been left behind and the carpet is dark blue. 

It was empty when she moved in, but she's added a bed, clothes rail, a fridge and a desk. 

She doesn't have her own bathroom or kitchen, but has access to several that she shares with at least 15 other people living on her floor.  

"It's pretty basic, but at the same time nicer than how I lived at university," Cherise, 30, told Money. "The kitchens are really nice. Obviously, they are not five-star luxury, but they are clean and hygienic.

"It just lacks home comforts. We're talking shared bathrooms. Both genders go in there, and some of them are makeshift, with pop-up plastic showers. You have to wear waterproof flip-flops in the shower so you don't get verrucas.

"There's no microwave in the kitchen on my level, so I have to go down a few flights of stairs to use one. There is just a lack of appliances."

All in, she pays £614 a month to live there, which includes allocated parking and a cleaner for the communal areas. Her only expense is a Wi-Fi dongle; she has no council tax to pay and no electricity bills.  

"I would never ever want to go back to renting," Cherise, an artist and designer who runs her own company, Trippy Creations, said.

The average room rent for the area is £679 a month plus bills, according to SpareRoom, but Cherise saw places going for much more. "Some were charging like £800 or £900 a month for one bedroom and the rooms would be so small," she said.

Her time as a guardian has allowed her to save enough to get on the housing ladder, and she is due to move into her first home soon. 

For all the benefits, there are some things she won't miss. Occupants have an app rather than keys to unlock the doors using Bluetooth, which is "annoying if your phone dies and you've got no way of getting in unless you bang on some windows and hope for the best".

There are other rules: no air fryers in bedrooms, no children, no pets, no guests to stay for more than two days and no open flames. 

Anyone who moves in is vetted, but ultimately Cherise doesn't have a say on the other guardians living in the building.  

"There was someone who was drinking outside quite late at night so I had to tell them to shut up out of the window and they swore at me," she said.

"You do get those people that have a hierarchy complex about them as well. You're always going to get that one guardian that thinks they run the show."  

This one comes with another catch...

For Sam Whelan Curtin, 38, property guardianship was the solution to unaffordable rent when he moved to London from Dublin three years ago.  

The licence fee for the property he found in Poplar, east London - a one-bed 1970s council flat - is £720 a month, hundreds less than the average rent in the area of £1,031.

"It was really nice when I moved in," Sam, a social justice worker, said, "but you have to make it your own, you have to fix it up, you need to buy an oven. 

"There's that kind of investment and you don't know how long you're going to have it. You could move in and get a notice a week later, so it's a calculated risk."

There's another catch: DotDotDot, the property guardianship company, requires its residents to volunteer for at least 12 hours a month. Sam works with Friends of the Joiners Arms, an organisation focused on protecting and creating LGBTQ+ spaces. 

There have been some general wear and tear issues given it's an old building, including the boiler breaking down, Sam said, but DotDotDot has been "quite good" at fixing them.  

It took him time to cope with knowing that he could be kicked out at any moment, with his licence renewing every 28 days.  

"It weighed heavily on my mind... you're kind of going, well I could get an email or a phone call tomorrow saying I'm out and you just have to be ready. I had to learn to live with that reality and the risk that you could kit it all out and then you have to leave," Sam said.  

He is expecting redevelopment to start on the building in the next six months, so is preparing to move.  

"Ideally I would like to shift into another guardianship but you also have to deal with the reality of going back into the private rental market and the fact that you are going to be paying more," he said.  

'Everyone who lives in London knows it's a nightmare'

Adriana Faria, 49, also lives in east London and has been property guardian for the past two and a half years. 

The freelance set designer lives in an old council estate building that is due to be demolished in 2028.  

The cheaper bills were attractive, but the main reason she picked a guardianship property was to get more space to work, finding rentals were too small, too expensive or too crowded.

"Everyone who lives in London knows it is a nightmare," she said. "It is difficult to find a suitable place, especially for me being a freelancer. My income is sometimes stable and sometimes not so much."

Her one bed-flat has a big kitchen, a living room, a small balcony and a windowless bathroom. All in, it costs her £1,025 a month, £825 on the licence fee and £200 on bills.  

When she moved in, "nothing was broken but it was completely empty and you have to buy everything. I didn't want to spend a lot of money because you are going to lose it," she said.

The floor was in a "very bad state", covered in patches of red carpet, so she removed the carpet herself and painted the hard floor underneath grey. 

A plumber was sent to fix an issue with the water pressure, and she hasn't had any problems since.

There are restrictions - no pets, children, old dependents staying, smoking, open flames or groups of people over - but they haven't affected her life negatively.  

"To be honest, I don't have so many friends so it's not a problem for me," Adriana said.

"I have more space, and I've had the opportunity to meet new people and create a relationship with where I live. It's created a bond with the place and the people."

She plans to move to another guardianship property next: "There is no reason to go back to renting. If I can't keep being a guardian, I will try to find a place to buy for myself." 

Could guardianships solve the housing crisis?  

As rents, house prices and mortgage rates have soared in the UK's deepening housing crisis, demand for property guardianship has also increased - both from people looking for a home and property owners seeking security solutions. 

Advocates for guardianship say it's an option for those who can't afford record rents, pointing to data from homelessness charity Shelter that shows there are at least 382,000 people without a home in England.

Critics argue, however, that it legitimises a two-tiered system of tenants' rights. 

The numbers

There is no official country-wide data on the number of property guardian, but estimates range from 5,000 to 10,000.  

In all, 754,264 properties in England are vacant, according to the Office for National Statistics. Of those, 34,635 are owned by local authorities and 303,185 have been vacant for six months or more.   

Natasha Taylor, managing director of AdHoc, a property management and security firm, told Money that around half of those properties could be used to house guardians.  

"The vast amount of vacant properties seems like a waste to me," she said. "There are so many things... you could do with your vacant properties rather than just leaving them empty." 

But, she added, "there are things that prevent us sometimes as we are bound by local authorities, so HMO [house in multiple occupancy] licences, planning, all of that comes into play."

While Natasha agreed that guardianship could help people access housing, she stressed that ultimately it is a security solution and occupants are there to protect a landlord's asset.  

In recent years, guardians have been used to stop anti-social behaviour or prevent squatters from moving in.  

"There's a whole squatters movement at the moment in the UK which has great followings on Instagram or Facebook showing how they get into these big buildings when they know it's vacant. It's dangerous," Natasha said. 

In one case, a property AdHoc manages in the London borough of Lambeth was occupied by squatters within four hours of security measures being removed. 

It can be a costly process for the owner, with some squatters dumping waste or damaging the property, she said. Having guardians inside is a huge deterrent.  

Arthur Duke, founder and chairman at Live-in Guardians, said his company had had a "steady and significant increase" in enquiries from property owners in both the private and public sectors looking for guardians.  

"More and more businesses are actively looking at how their property strategies align with their environmental, social and governance commitments," he said. "Property guardianship reduces waste, prevents high street decline and provides affordable housing at a time when it's badly needed."

Turning empty properties into guardian homes won't solve the housing crisis on its own, he said, but it could "absolutely" be part of the solution.  

"In reality, almost any building can be suitable for guardianship if it's managed properly," he said.  

"Guardianship helps ease pressure at the lower end of the rental market by providing genuinely affordable accommodation, particularly for key workers and young professionals."

"However, it's not a substitute for long-term housebuilding or structural reform. What it does very well is bridge the gap - reducing waste, improving security for owners and offering people a roof over their heads at a time when affordability has become critical."

Professor Chris Bevan, a property law expert, has spent years researching the sector and largely agrees that vacant properties could be used to house people in guardianships. 

But he stressed the need for more regulation and data collection to make sure people aren't living in poor conditions. 

To start with, he said, the ombudsman should take a more active role in the sector and local authorities should survey guardianship properties. 

"Whatever form the accommodation takes, it has to meet decent home standards and I would like local authorities to be proactive in ensuring that if there are vacant properties in their area, and they are to be occupied by guardians. I would like them to be inspected and tested to that decent home standard," he said. 

"If the regulation is not put in place, then there is the threat of this sort of development of a substandard housing regime that sits under private accommodation which is left for people who can't afford anything else. 

"We've got to avoid that. We should regulate the system to realise its potential." 

We're signing off - catch up on the nine most-read posts from the week
More families setting up trusts to avoid inheritance tax

More families are setting up trusts to avoid paying inheritance tax, figures from HMRC suggest. 

Around 121,000 trusts were registered in the 2024-25 tax year, up from 115,000 the year before, taking the total to at least 835,000, the data analysed by Utmost Wealth Solutions shows.

Trusts can offer potential savings on inheritance tax (more on how below), which more and more families face having to pay.

A freeze to the tax-free threshold, which has been fixed at £325,000 since 2009 and will remain there until 2030, has dragged more estates into paying inheritance tax. 

If it had risen in line with inflation, the threshold would be around £500,000. 

Increases in the value of property and other assets have also made more estates liable. 

Upcoming changes to government policies on agricultural and business property relief could also mean more people are forced to pay. 

By 2030-31, around £14.5bn is expected to be paid in inheritance tax. 

Marc Acheson, global wealth specialist at Utmost Wealth Solutions, said the increase in trust registrations was "entirely understandable". 

"With the inheritance tax nil-rate band frozen for more than 15 years and the tax base being widened through successive policy changes, more families are finding themselves exposed to inheritance tax and are turning to trusts as a well-established way of organising succession and mitigating long-term liabilities," he said.

What is a trust and how can it help with inheritance tax? 

Basically, a trust is a legal arrangement where a person or group of people have control over assets or money.

They can be used for several reasons, including to set aside cash for children, grandchildren or other family members, or to take control of someone's finances if they're incapacitated.

They can hold any kind of asset, such as cash, land, shares, financial products or property like art, jewellery and cars.

They involve three main parties: the settlor, the trustee and the beneficiary.

There are many advantages of having a trust, including the level of protection and control they can provide over valuable assets.

They can protect the settlor's interests and reduce the chance of being challenged after their death. 

Trusts can also help you save on inheritance tax. If the settlor lives for at least seven years after putting assets to the fund, there will be no inheritance tax liability.

However, when setting up the trust, tax of 20% may be charged if the value of money and assets exceeds the nil-rate band (£325,000, or £650,000 for couples, until 2030).

How to pull £3 pints of Guinness this weekend

Dry January is soon over - if that was you this year - which means many Britons may have plans to head down to the pub this weekend.

And, as if almost by design, you can get a pint of Guinness for £3 until midnight on Sunday - starting from right now.

At least, that's the case at more than 800 Greene King pubs. 

To get the deal, you need to order and purchase your pint using the Greene King app at one of the participating pubs. 

That catch? Each transaction is limited to a maximum of five £3 pints, which should still be plenty. 

There are 731 pubs in England, 92 pubs in Scotland and 12 in Wales taking part. 

You can check if your local is one of them here