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22% house price growth on way, says leading estate agent | Money blog

Average house prices are set to increase by £80,000 over the next five years, according to property firm Savills. Leave your thoughts, and read the rest of today's personal finance and consumer news, below.

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Average house price expected to hit £440,000 by 2030

Average house prices are set to increase by £80,000 over the next five years, according to property firm Savills.

It forecasts that prices will hit an average of £440,000 by 2030 - growth of just over 22% from today.

Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills, says that the upcoming budget "continues to weigh on the market" this year.

In 2026, prices are forecast to increase by 2% (down from 4% previously) - equal to around £7,200.

But growth over the next five years, Savills says, will peak in 2028 and 2029 at 5% and 5.5% respectively.

There's a significant difference in where these price rises will fall, though.

Yorkshire and the Humber and the North East are expected to see the highest rises, with London seeing the lowest.

Could we actually get an interest rate cut tomorrow?

By Sarah Taaffe-Maguire, business and economics reporter

Less than 24 hours before a decision is made on UK interest rates and the odds are still in favour of a hold - but it's no longer certain.

A hold would mean no change to the cost of borrowing, with the base interest rate staying at 4%. 

There's more jeopardy than before, however. Traders now say there's a 66% chance of rates being unchanged, with a 34% chance of them being reduced, according to London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) data. 

Anyone set to remortgage a house in late December or early January will be heartened to hear that a cut is anticipated when the rate-setters meet again on 18 December. 

At that point, economists and traders anticipate the interest rate will be brought below 4%, to 3.75%, for the first time in nearly three years.

Not since January 2023 has the cost of borrowing been so low. 

Why will they fall?

While inflation has remained high, at 3.8%, the expected rise to 4% in September did not materialise. 

Despite inflation being nearly double the Bank of England's 2% target, this stagnation and signs of increasing unemployment have made some analysts - notably those at Goldman Sachs - forecast a cut.

But the majority opinion is backing no change as wage growth remains high and above inflation.  

Nationwide cuts mortgage rates ahead of Bank of England decision - but watch that deposit

Nationwide Building Society is cutting mortgage rates by up to 0.25 percentage points today.

The rate reductions are being made on two, three, five and 10-year fixed-rate products, and include a 3.64%, two-year fixed-rate home mover mortgage for borrowers with a 40% deposit.

The move comes ahead of the next Bank of England base rate decision tomorrow.

"Swap rates are currently sitting around their 30-day lows, so it is possible that more reductions could follow suit," says Caitlyn Eastell, from Moneyfacts.

"However, with the next base rate decision looming, it is not yet certain how the swap markets will react."

She also pointed out the size of the deposit required to take advantage of Nationwide's headline reduced rate, which only applies to loans of £300,000 or more (with a £1,499 fee).

"The borrowers that can afford a 40% deposit may certainly find the headline rate appealing, and if they make regular overpayments on a low rate, that could set them up nicely for when they come to refinance. 

"Remortgage customers will also feel the relief as they could see their monthly repayments drop significantly."

Nationwide will also offer a two-year fixed rate remortgage deal at 3.79%, reduced by 0.15 percentage points, for borrowers with a 40% deposit.

For those with less capital, the building society has reduced its two-year fixed rate with a 10% deposit to 4.79%.

Popular British pub chain still uncertain about future despite growing sales - as pound's woes continue

By Sarah Taaffe-Maguire, business and economics reporter

A lot has been said about the uncertain future for the British pub - including here on the Money blog - but at one of the UK's largest chains of pubs, at least, people are still drinking. 

At JD Wetherspoon, sales are up nearly 4% (3.7%) from last year when the effect of new pub openings is excluded. 

Bar sales are the biggest contributor to that, with food sales growing at a slower pace.

The outlook is uncertain, however, as it sees a threat from Chancellor Rachel Reeves's forthcoming budget. 

The pub group's chief executive, Tim Martin, has regularly highlighted the higher VAT prices on pub alcohol versus drinking at home, as well as the costs of employing staff, and he continues to make the point.

"The company is pleased with the continued sales momentum but is mindful of the chancellor's budget statement later this month and, as a result, is slightly more cautious in its outlook for the remainder of the year," Martin said in a trading update. 

US market moves

Elsewhere, US markets have retreated from their record highs and are set to fall today.

Major American stock indexes are, based on pre-market trading, expected to drop when they open this afternoon. 

The index of 30 major companies listed on US stock exchanges, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), dropped more than 05% at the close yesterday, while the tech-focused Nasdaq shed more than 2%.

The US index containing companies relied on to be stable and profitable, the S&P 500, also lost more than 1%.

It comes as major AI-invested firms like software company Palantir lost 8% and AI computer chip maker Nvidia dropped 4%. 

A major investor, who predicted the collapse of the housing market in 2007, placed a large bet against the stocks (as we reported on Money yesterday).

Pound woes

There's no let-up to the pound's woes, though the slide appears to have paused. 

Sterling has been hanging around the level of a two-and-a-half-year low against the euro, with a pound still buying €1.13. 

Against the dollar, a pound is equal to $1.30, still around the April low when Donald Trump roiled markets with his announcement of country-specific tariffs. 

This year's divisive Coca-Cola Christmas ad is AI generated

If you thought Coca-Cola's famed Christmas lorries looked a little different in this year's holiday ad, you'd be right.

The sparkling red trucks weren't actually in the video - an AI-generated rendering was.

In fact, the whole advert was made using Real Magic AI, the second time the company has used AI in its Christmas adverts, leading to some criticism online.

"Disappointing. Even worse than last year," wrote Mendy Miriam, chief executive of Uncut Media Kenya on LinkedIn.

"What's missing is everything that made the original campaigns timeless; emotion, texture, human warmth. Tech can replicate visuals, but not feeling. This one feels strangely hollow. Awful."

Nusa Studios video editor Sam Gavin said: "I'm not particularly worried about generative AI taking all our jobs when used at this scale, because all this does is make brands look cheap to me."

But Andrew Tindall, senior vice president of marketing research firm System1, said the ad scored top marks in its tests with "millions of people".

"People love it. Exactly the same as last year. No one in proper creative testing knows or cares AI made this ad."

Paste BN has contacted Coca-Cola for comment.

'If I divorce my wife will she get half my private pension - even though she's due a big inheritance?' | Money newsletter

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Treasury thinks 'working people' earn less than £45,000 - Money blog readers think very differently

Last week, Paste BN obtained an internal definition of "working people" used by the Treasury.

This is important because Labour pledged not to increase the tax burden on working people in its manifesto.

According to the report from deputy political editor Sam Coates, those earning £45,000 or less qualify as "working people".

But when we surveyed Money blog readers, it was clear the majority had another view.

3,300 people have taken part in the survey - and 79% thought the salary bar for what constitutes a working person was higher than the treasury definition.

In fact, 30% chose the highest option in the survey - that someone on £125,000 could still be regarded as a working person.

A further 11% said £100,000, and 18% £75,000.

20% picked the higher rate tax threshold of £50,270.

Just 9% agreed with the £45,000 level the Treasury is apparently using.

12% opted for the median UK salary of £37,430. 

Your neighbour's roof may be pushing up your energy bills

Your neighbour's roof might be driving up your energy costs this autumn, according to an expert.

Jeff Berzolla, chief executive of Instant Roofer, warns terraced or semi-detached property owners are particularly at risk.

Poor roof insulation or damaged tiles in your neighbour's house can allow heat from your home to escape through shared loft spaces and wall cavities, he says.

"Think of it like trying to heat a house with the windows open," says Berzolla. 

"When there's inadequate insulation next door, your warm air finds a way to escape through connected spaces. Your boiler doesn't know the difference - it just knows it needs to work harder to maintain your target temperature."

The problem becomes worse if your neighbour has missing or broken roof tiles, creating gaps that allow cold air to circulate.

These tiles, as well as moss and clogged gutters, can also compromise shared drainage systems and increase humidity levels across connected homes.

"We see this constantly in our assessments," says Berzolla.

"When gutters overflow or drainage fails on one property, it affects the whole row."

Even the colour of their roof can have an effect, with a light-coloured one reflecting heat that could warm the area around both properties.

If you think solar panels will help keep bills low, make sure to take note of any tall roof extensions, dormer windows or poorly planned installations next door too, adds Berzolla.

How to get extra legroom on a flight without paying extra

We all know there's extra legroom near the emergency exits, but did you know the amount of space in standard seats varies within planes?

Often, simply sitting on the right-hand side will get you extra room.

We looked through the seating plans of 11 popular airlines to work out where the standard seats with the most legroom are.

Some planes used by Ryanair, easyJet and other major airlines have seats with an extra inch of legroom on one side.

Other airlines, such as British Airways, can offer more on certain rows.

Here, we run down the roomiest spots with each airline - and explain how to do the research yourself before any flight via seating plans on AeroLOPA...

Ryanair

On Ryanair's Boeing 737-800s, you can get an extra half-inch of legroom by sitting in the right standard seats. 

Passengers in seats D, E and F in rows 3-15 enjoy a seat pitch that is 29.5 inches, compared to 29 inches on the left-hand side of the same rows.

You can book these seats for as little as £4.50 per flight, according to the Ryanair website. 

This compares to £12 for "extra legroom" seats. 

Ryanair told Money: "Your average seat pitch is 29 inches, which is one inch more than industry standard of 28 inches.

"All Ryanair passengers can choose their preferred seat if they so wish at prices which start from £4.50. If passengers don't wish to select a seat, then they will be allocated a seat free of charge."

easyJet

You can gain an extra inch if you sit on the right-hand side of an easyJet Airbus A 321neo. 

Seats D, E and F on rows 3-17 have a 29-inch seat pitch, compared to those on the left between rows 30 and 40, which have 28 inches of room. 

If you're travelling on an Airbus A320-214, you'll get half an inch more room on the right-hand side in rows 14 to 29. 

You can check in 30 days before your flight. EasyJet's website said picking a standard seat starts at 99p. Its extra legroom seats start at £7.99. 

EasyJet told Money: "EasyJet's fleet includes a range of aircraft with between 156 and 235 seats and the majority of our aircraft have a minimum seat pitch of 29 inches. For customers who like to choose where they sit on the aircraft or select a seat with extra legroom, we provide them with the choice to do this for a small fee, starting from £0.99." 

Norwegian

You need to pay close attention to the type of plane you are flying in to make sure you get the best standard seats. 

If you are travelling on a Boeing 737-800 with 189 seats or a Boeing 737-Max 8, generally the front 3-14 rows on the right-hand side have an extra inch of room compared to the left-hand side.

In the Boeing 737-800 with 186 seats, the left-hand side between rows 2 and 13 has the seats with the most legroom.

Norwegian includes seat reservation in all its tickets, apart from LowFare tickets. If you have this option, selecting your seat starts at £9.99. 

Norwegian told Money: "Seat pitch and legroom vary slightly between our aircraft, as they operate different configurations. Importantly, we do not charge extra solely for additional legroom. 

"Seats with more space are typically found in the front rows or by the emergency exits. These can be selected either by booking a Flex or LowFare+ ticket, or by adding them during the booking process for an additional fee." 

British Airways 

If you're travelling long haul on a British Airways Boeing 787-8 Type 78E, rows 22-24 and rows 31 to 34 in the HJK seats offer more legroom.

You'll get a seat pitch that is 32.4 inches big, compared to 31 inches for the majority of other standard seats. 

Try to avoid seats in ABC in rows 23 to 25 - these have the least amount of space at 30.5 inches. 

If you are doing a shorter flight, you might find yourself on an Airbus A320 or an Airbus A320neo. If so, avoid row 30, it has the smallest amount of space at 28 inches - one inch fewer than other standard seats. 

If you're on an Airbus A321 type 21V and don't want to pay to sit in the Club Europe section, sitting in rows 15 to 22 will get you the most room at 30.1inches. 

This compares to 29 inches in other standard seats. 

AER Lingus

You can gain up to 1.5 inches by picking the right seat on an Aer Lingus plane. 

If you're travelling on an Airbus A321-253NX, rows seven to 13 in the economy section give you the most room at 32 inches. 

But, if you're in rows 22 to 34, you're better off being on the right-hand side in seats DEF because these also give you 32 inches of space, compared 30.5 inches in the seats on the left. 

The same rule applies if you are travelling on an Airbus A321-253NY. 

You can select a specific standard price for a fee starting at €4.99 (£4.30). 

Jet2

Standard seats on Jet2's Airbus A321 CEO planes have a pitch of 28.5 inches. 

But if you have a seat on the left-hand side between rows 28 and 38, you might want to consider swapping because you only get 28 inches. 

Jet2 says on its website that you can select your preferred seat for a "small charge". 

WizzAir

While the side of the plane you sit on doesn't make a difference to your legroom, the row you select does. 

Standard seats in rows two to 11 have 29 inches of room, while rows 14 to 31 have 28 inches on the airlines' Airbus A320-232 planes.

If you're travelling on an Airbus A321-271NX, the standard seat pitches have more variation. 

In rows two to six you get 29 inches, in rows seven to 17, 20 to 23, and 30 to 40, you get 28 inches. 

In rows 24 to 28 on the left-hand side, you get 28 inches, but if you sit on the right, you'll get 29 inches. 

WizzAir confirmed the dimensions were correct and noted that they can vary depending on the seat models used on each aircraft. 

We also checked American Airlines, Emirates, Tui and Virgin Atlantic, but there were no changes in the legroom offered by different standard seats. 

How to check this yourself? 

Hopefully, we have done a lot of the legwork for you - but if the airline you're travelling with isn't on this list, here's how to check this information yourself. 

First, to save you the time of going through every type of plane your airline uses, check what aircraft you'll be flying on. 

This information might be on your booking reference, but if not, you should be able to find it on the airline's website. 

Then you can visit AeroLOPA, an online portfolio of aircraft seating plans, to find the type of plane you are travelling in. 

Scroll to the bottom of the plan to find the information about seat sizes and look for the seat pitch.

Waitrose rolls out new rewards scheme for shoppers nationwide - including freebies and money off

A new rewards scheme is being extended to all of Waitrose's supermarkets, nationwide, after an initial two-month pilot across 74 stores.

The initiative rewards shoppers who sign up for Waitrose's MyWaitrose loyalty programme with up to three 'Little Treats' a month - either free items or money off their shopping.

Shoppers who reach the spending thresholds of £50, £100 and £250 will have vouchers automatically appear in their online accounts or on the app.

Rewards during the pilot included roses,  frozen pizza and up to £5 in vouchers. 

The chain said the response from customers to the trial had been "overwhelmingly positive".